小往大来网
小往大来网
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华泰期货贵金属：美联储官员态度近期较为多变 金价暂偏震荡

小往大来网 5148 915

策略摘要

目前美债长短期收益率依旧呈现倒挂格局，地缘政治的隐患也不时干扰市场，故此对于操作而言，仍建议以逢低吸入为主。

核心观点

■贵金属市场分析

宏观面

近期美联储官员对于加息的态度相对较为多变，今日凌晨2024年FOMC票委、旧金山联储主席戴利表示，现在宣布战胜通胀还为时过早，美联储将继续加息至合适的水平，9月份加息50或75个基点是合理的，年底前利率需要略高于3%。当会议临近时将对加息做出决定。这一言论使得短时内黄格再度承压，美元再度上升至107以上的位置，当前市场对于美联储官员的表达过于敏感，使得行情也较为反复，黄金ETF持仓迟迟无法呈现明显的拐点，不过市场对于未来经济衰退的计价也仍在继续，同时地缘政治隐患也依旧存在，因此目前就操作而言，仍建议以逢低配置为主。

基本面

上个交易日（8月18日）上金所黄金成交量为12，626千克，较前一交易日上涨32.65%。成交量为1，126，550千克，较前一交易日上涨100.27%。

最新公布的黄金SPDR ETF持仓为985.83吨，较前一交易日下降3.18吨。而白银SLV ETF持仓为15，044.27吨，较前一交易日下降55.91吨。 而从已知贵金属ETF总持仓上来看，则仍然处于相对较高位置。

昨日（8月18日），沪深300指数较前一交易日下降0.87%，电子元件板块则是较前一交易日上涨1.66%。光伏板块则是上涨2.22%。

■策略

黄金：谨慎看多

白银：谨慎看多

套利：暂缓 

金银比价：逢低做多

期权：暂缓

■风险

美元以及美债收益率持续走高

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发表评论 （已有5条评论）

评论列表

@回复
2024-07-07 17:00:51

　　#3做你所爱　　“你的工作会占据你生活中大部分时间。

@回复
2024-07-07 17:00:51

第二个，你要对行业运营有深入了解。

@回复
2024-07-07 17:00:51

不要让运营迷惑了双眼，要时刻记住产品的质量和是否解决真正的用户需求才是它能否成功的最关键的因素。

@回复
2024-07-07 17:00:51

　　为何不去搏一下呢?　　【王吉伟，商业模式评论人，专栏作者，关注TMT与IOT，专注互联网+及企业转型研究。

@回复
2024-07-07 17:00:51

但是现在，我离开了，是好是坏，谁知道呢!但总能够不能停吧，我又重新站在了十字路口，总得向前。

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